Polymarket: AI Bets When It Disagrees with the Market
Trades US-based policy events based on AI forecasts. On a set schedule, the workflow scrapes news from the Fed, SEC, and White House, has an AI assign probabilities to forecastable events, and searches Polymarket for a matching market. If the AI's probability differs from the live market price by more than your gap threshold, it sizes a bet as a percentage of your bankroll, places a Fill-And-Kill order, and sends a Telegram alert with the market link, outcome, gap, and AI reasoning. If there's no gap or no matching market, it skips. Quick Setup Import your wallet or connect your B3OS Treasury Wallet Set the trigger schedule - how often the bot scans for news Pick news sources (Defaults: Fed, SEC, White House - any Firecrawl-reachable URL works) Choose your AI model (Default: openai/gpt-4o) Set the gap threshold - minimum AI-vs-market difference needed to fire a bet Set bet sizing - a bankroll multiplier (e.g. 0.02 \= 2%) plus min/max in pUSD (Polymarket's currency) Connect Telegram for placed-bet and skip alerts Test and publish!